据彭博社报道，受国际贸易关系紧张等因素影响，预计未来5年，全球许多经济体的增长都将放缓。但是，未来5年，中国仍将是全球经济增长的最大贡献者，而印度将超越美国，成为第二大增长引擎。

 

该研究根据国际货币基金组织（IMF）的预测，并根据购买力平价进行调整，列出了2024年全球经济增长的前20大增长引擎。

 

 

Weaker global growth, expected to fall to 3% this year and the slowest since the global financial crisis, will affect 90% of the world, according to estimates released this week by the International Monetary Fund.

 

国际货币基金组织本周公布的世界经济预测报告显示，全球经济增长放缓将影响全球90%的地区。预计今年全球经济增速将降至3%，是全球金融危机以来的最低水平。

 

▲These 20 countries will dominate global growth in 2024 (via The Economic Times)

 

This is the result of multiple factors, including the US-China trade war, geopolitical tensions, as well as Brexit-related risks, according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook released earlier this week.

 

国际货币基金组织本周早些时候发布的《世界经济展望》显示，这是多种因素共同作用的结果，包括中美贸易战、地缘政治紧张局势，以及与英国脱欧相关的风险。

 

▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)

 

不过，国际货币基金组织数据显示，预计在短短5年内，印度对全球经济增长的推动作用，将超过美国。

 

India’s growth can outpace that of the US, Bloomberg reported, citing IMF estimates adjusted for purchasing power parity (PPP). In five years, the South Asian nation will account for 15.5 percent of global growth, jumping two percent from the current figures. Meanwhile, the US contribution is set to fall by more than 3.5 percent from its current 13.8 percent, to 9.2 percent.

 

彭博社援引国际货币基金组织按购买力平价(PPP)调整后的估计数据称，印度的增长可能超过美国。5年后，这个南亚国家将占全球经济增长的15.5%，比目前数据上升2%。与此同时，美国的贡献将从目前的13.8%下降到9.2%，降幅超过3.5%。

 

This week, the IMF cut India’s GDP growth forecast for 2019 to 6.1 percent, which is 1.2 percent lower than the body’s April projections. Despite the gloomier prognosis, the country’s finance minister argued on Thursday that the Indian economy is “still growing as the fastest,” although it remains far behind China.

 

本周，国际货币基金组织将印度2019年的GDP增长预期下调至6.1%，比该组织4月份的预期低了1.2%。尽管预期数据悲观，但印度财政部长周四表示，印度经济“仍是增长最快的”，尽管仍远远落后于中国。

 

▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)

 

此外，报道也提到中国仍将是世界经济增长无可争辩的最大贡献者。

 

China is set to remain the indisputable leader despite its share is set to fall from 32.7 percent in 2019 to 28.3 percent in 2024.

 

尽管中国对世界经济增长的贡献将从2019年的32.7%下降到2024年的28.3%，但它仍将是无可争辩的最大贡献者。

 

▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)

 

除此之外，印尼，俄罗斯、日本、英国对世界经济增长也影响较大。

 

Other changes in the top five include Russia pushing Japan off fifth place with its share of GDP growth expected to stay at its current level of two percent in 2024. Indonesia will remain in fourth place.

 

排名前五位的国家有些变化，包括俄罗斯将把日本从第5位的位置挤下，到2024年，俄罗斯占全球GDP增长的份额预计将保持在目前的2%。印尼仍将排在第4位。

 

▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)

 

The U.K. will see its importance wane amid Brexit as its economy drops from ninth as a share of world growth in 2019, to 13th.

 

随着英国脱欧，其经济在全球经济增长中的比重将从2019年的第9位下降至第13位，英国的重要性将会减弱。

 

Japan will fall to the ninth spot by 2024. Brazil is projected to move up from No. 11 to No. 6. Germany’s share of growth is expected to remain at 1.6% and 7th on the list.

 

到2024年，日本将跌至第九位。巴西的排名预计将从第11位升至第6位。德国的增长比重预计将保持在1.6%，排在第7位。

 

▲These 20 countries will dominate global growth in 2024 (via The Economic Times)